XRP’s recent price movements suggest the cryptocurrency may be poised for a significant rally against Bitcoin (BTC), reminiscent of its explosive 2,500% surge in early 2017. If historical patterns hold, XRP could see a 100% gain by March 2025, supported by technical and fundamental factors.
XRP Gains Momentum Against Bitcoin
XRP’s performance in 2025 has drawn comparisons to its 2017 bull market. Since November’s US presidential election, where Donald Trump secured victory, XRP has surged over 350% against Bitcoin. In January alone, the XRP/BTC pair is up 32%, breaking key resistance levels and entering overbought territory, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
![Source: Polymarket](https://cryptocruize.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/019473d2-44da-7a8d-9940-5fcb934908b2.webp)
An RSI above 70 typically signals an impending market correction or consolidation. However, strong market fundamentals can sometimes sustain rallies, as evidenced in 2017 when XRP defied the overbought RSI threshold and surged 2,500% during the ICO boom.
Favourable Fundamentals in 2025
The landscape in 2025 differs from 2017 but remains supportive of XRP. Key developments include the potential resolution of the SEC lawsuit against Ripple, which could pave the way for the approval of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US. Analysts at JPMorgan predict these ETFs could attract between $4 billion and $8 billion in capital inflows.
Ripple has also launched RLUSD, a stablecoin designed to enhance liquidity within the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem. This innovation bolsters XRP’s utility and could further strengthen its price performance.
Technical Indicators Signal Further Upside
From a technical perspective, XRP/BTC has broken out of an 8-year symmetrical triangle pattern to the upside, reinforcing bullish momentum. In a best-case scenario, the pair could target the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement line, which aligns with the 6,471 satoshi level. This represents a 100% increase from current levels.
![XRP/BTC three-week price performance chart. Source: TradingView](https://cryptocruize.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/019473df-526b-7d95-8cc4-2b9d97de0ed1-1024x544.png)
However, XRP’s inability to breach the critical resistance zone between 1,950 and 3,550 satoshis could invalidate the bullish outlook.
Cautious Optimism Despite Overbought RSI
The XRP/BTC RSI currently mirrors its early 2017 levels, suggesting potential for sustained gains. While such conditions typically precede a correction, historical and emerging factors could allow XRP to defy this trend again.
The ongoing market optimism, coupled with XRP’s increasing utility and potential regulatory clarity, makes a strong case for its continued rally against Bitcoin.
As the market anticipates further developments, XRP’s performance in the coming weeks could confirm whether this 2017-like trajectory holds true.